課程資訊
課程名稱
 亞太與台灣安全專題
SEMINAR ON ASIA-PACIFIC AND TAIWAN SECURITY 
開課學期
 97-2 
授課對象
 社會科學院  政治學研究所  
授課教師
 陳世民 
課號
 PS7028 
課程識別碼
 322 M3940 
班次
  
學分
 2 
全/半年
 半年 
必/選修
 必修 
上課時間
 星期三3,4(10:20~12:10) 
上課地點
 社法研4 
備註
 碩班限制選修:國際關係。
總人數上限：20人
外系人數限制：3人 
Ceiba 課程網頁
 http://ceiba.ntu.edu.tw/972Asian_security 
課程簡介影片
 
核心能力關聯
 核心能力與課程規劃關聯圖
課程大綱
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課程概述

一、亞太既定安全架構：結盟與權力平衡的雙邊主義的主要架構，區域與多邊主義的發展
二、冷戰結束後亞太安全架構的衝擊與轉變
(1) 蘇聯角色的消逝代表何意義？
(2) 中共軍事現代化的影響（中俄軍事交流）
(3) 大規模武器的擴散與軍備競賽：
(a) 北韓核武與飛彈擴散
(b) 日本軍事角色的日益提昇：正常國家化
(c) 臺海軍力平衡的動搖：臺灣如何發展「有效嚇阻」力量？
三、亞太各國之亞太政策與互動關係（尤其是安全關係）
(美中、美日、美俄、美臺、美國與兩韓關係，中日、中俄、兩岸、中共與兩韓關係，日俄、日本與兩韓關係，俄國與兩韓關係，與東南亞、澳洲)，
(各主要三角關係：美中俄、美中日、美日俄、美中臺---）
美國的亞太政策、美國的兩岸政策、中共的對臺政策、臺灣的大陸政策…等等
四、亞太軍力平衡之現狀及其演變：
(1) 各國之軍力現狀及比較（尤其是在朝鮮半島與臺灣海峽）
(2) 亞太既定安全架構的主要穩定因素：美國「延伸嚇阻」(核保護傘)的可信度問題
五、各國之亞太軍事戰略：轉變過程與現狀
(1)美國冷戰時期的「彈性反應戰略」：核武和傳統武力的角色；現今仍是「彈性反應戰略」嗎？
(2)中共、俄國、日本、南、北韓、東南亞、澳洲及臺灣之軍事戰略及其演變
六、東北亞不擴散機制之運作與動搖
(1) 歷史經驗與現狀
(2) 各國的不擴散政策
(3) 北韓核武擴散危機與東北亞核武擴散骨牌效應的擔憂
七、飛彈防禦與東亞安全: 飛彈防禦是否真能增進東北亞的安全與穩定?
(1) 飛彈防禦對東北亞各國既定軍事戰略的衝擊，會帶末何轉變？
(2) 飛彈防禦對東北亞各國安全關係的影響：美、日、中、韓、台之立場及其歧異
(3) 東北亞地區嚇阻與防禦的兩難
八、美國「延伸嚇阻」安全承諾的可信度、飛彈防禦，及不擴散機制之間的關連：
-------未來將如何發展，及影響亞太戰略格局與兩岸安全關係？
九、亞太多邊主義安全架構(東南亞與東北亞)可能出現並成旦B作嗎？
(1) 「區域性集體安全體系」與「信心建立措施」:可行之途徑嗎？---東協區域論壇、亞太安全合作理事會……等之運作， 是成左熄?
(2) 各國之看法，及其對臺海、朝鮮半島之適用問題
(3) 目前朝核問題之「六邊會談」架構的未來可能發展：
-----能形成未來之「東北亞多邊安全架構」嗎？臺灣會被邊緣化嗎？
十、臺灣與亞太安全：臺灣該如何因應此快速變遷中的亞太安全局勢？
------核子與飛彈時代臺灣安全的兩難：防禦或嚇阻？
------防禦有用嗎？嚇阻有效嗎？美國可以依靠嗎？
------馬政府的「守勢防禦」有用嗎？
------弭兵論、反戰論、中立論與臺灣安全 

課程目標
 現今全球矚目的國際焦點有兩個便存在於亞太地區（朝鮮半島和臺海），加上亞太是我國所處的地區，此區域安全局勢在目前的快速演變，勢必對臺灣造成深遠影響，這亦因而成為現今國內、外國際關係學界備受關注的研究領域。本課程之目的即在培養國內亞太與臺灣安全議題的專才，一方面先使同學對亞太與臺灣安全議題有一完整的背景認識﹔另一方面藉由專題學術論文撰寫的訓練過程，使同學找出自己在此領域的興趣所在，並具有搜集資料及分析的獨立研究能力。 
課程要求
 1. (20%)：嬝玩虴驉B上課出席與參與討論
2. (20%)：學期論文口頭報告與評論
3. (60%)：學期論文 ：為確保論文的順利進行，學生須在第9週(4/15)前，繳交一份三百字(不含參考書目)報告大綱，說明研究計畫動機、目的、章節安排及問題意識、與資料來源(參考書目乃是重點)，並經老師同意。大綱將列入學期論文成績計算(佔10%)。寫作格式與要求重點，將於第一堂課說明。 
預期每週課後學習時數
  
Office Hours
 每週三 13:00~15:00 
指定閱讀
  
參考書目
 亞太既定安全架構：結盟與權力平衡的雙邊主義架構, 區域與多邊主義的發展(2/25)

Romberg, Alan D. , Future East Asian Security Architecture: Implications for
the PLA, Washington, DC: The Henry L. Stimson Center, July 12, 2007
http://www.stimson.org/eastasia/pdf/SecurityArchitecture.pdf
Ross, Robert S. , “Bipolarity and Balancing in East Asia”, in T.V. Paul,
James J. Wirtz, and Michel Fortmann eds. , Balance of power : theory and
practice in the 21st century, Stanford, California : Stanford University
Press, 2004. pp. 267-304.
David Shambaugh and Michael Yahuda, 2009. International relations of Asia.
Lanham, Md. : Rowman & Littlefield Publishers.

Recommended

Stephen Haggard, “ The Balance of Power, Globalization , and Democracy:
International Relations Theories in Northeast Asia ”, Journal of East Asian
Studies, No. 4, 2004, pp. 1-38.
Hemmer, Christopher, and Peter J. Katzenstein. "Why is There No NATO in Asia?
Collective Identity, Regionalism, and the Origins of Multilateralism."
International Organization 56, no. 3 (Summer 2002): 575-607.
Cotton, James, August 1998. “Bilateral Accomplishments and Multilateral Tasks
in Northeast Asian Security.” Contemporary Southeast Asia, Vol.20, No.2, pp.
137-153.
Ross, Robert S. : “The Geography of the Peace: East Asia in the Twenty-first
Century” International Security V.23 N.4 Spring 1999 pp.81-118
Buzan, Barry. “Security architecture in Asia : the interplay of regional and
global levels”, Pacific Review, 2003, vol.16:n°2, pp.143-162.
Lim, Robyn, The geopolitics of East Asia : the search for equilibrium,
London ; New York : RoutledgeCurzon, 2003

冷戰結束後亞太安全架構的衝擊與轉變 (3/4)

Carpenter, William M. and David G. Wiencek , “Terrorism and New Environment”
in William M. Carpenter and David G. Wiencek eds. , Asian security handbook :
terrorism and the new security environment , Armonk, N.Y. : M.E. Sharpe, 2005.
pp. 3-34.
Hwang, Jihwan , “Rethinking the East Asian balance of power : historical
antagonism, internal balancing and the Korean-Japanese security
relationship”, World Affairs (Washington), 2003,Fall, vol.166:n°2, pp.95-108.
William T. Tow, “Strategic dimensions of energy competition in Asia” in
Michael Wesley, Energy security in Asia, London ; New York : Routledge, 2007,
161-173.
Robyn Lim, The geopolitics of East Asia : the search for equilibrium, London ;
New York : RoutledgeCurzon, 2003
Gurtov, Mel, 2002. Pacific Asia? Prospects for Security and Cooperation in
East Asia. New York: Rowan & Littlefield Publishers.

亞太各國之亞太政策與互動關係（尤其是安全關係）(3/11)

Christensen, Thomas J. , “Fostering Stability or Creating a Monster? The Rise
of China and U.S. Policy toward East Asia”, International Security Summer
2006, Vol. 31, No. 1: 81-126.
Romberg, Alan D. , U.S. Strategic Interests in Northeast Asia: 2009 and
Beyond, Washington, DC: The Henry L. Stimson Center. July 12, 2007
http://www.stimson.org/eastasia/pdf/USInterests2009.pdf
G. John Ikenberry and Chung-in Moon, 2008, The United States and Northeast
Asia : debates, issues, and new order : Lanham, Md. : Rowman & Littlefield,
cop.

Recommended

Comparative Connections: A Quarterly E-Journal on East Asian Bilateral
Relations, Pacific Forum CSIS, Honolulu, Hawaii 2000-2009,
www.csis.org/pacfor/ccejournal.html
Sutter, Robert G., The United States and East Asia : dynamics and
implications. Lanham, Md : Rowman & Littlefield, 2003.
Michael Mastanduno, “Incomplete Hegemony: The United States and Security
Order in Asia,” in Muthiah Alagappa, ed., Asian Security Order: Instrumental
and Normative Features (Stanford: Stanford University Press, 2003), pp.141-170.
Department of Defense (U.S.A.). The United States Security Strategy For The
East Asia-Pacific Region 1998, .
http://www.shaps.hawaii.edu/security/easr98.html
Michael H. Armacost and Daniel I. Okimoto, 2004. The future of America s
alliances in Northeast Asia. Stanford, Calif. : Asia-Pacific Research Center,
cop.
Michael Heazle, Nick Knight, 2007. China-Japan relations in the twenty-first
century : creating a future past ?. Cheltenham, UK ; Northampton, MA : Edward
Elgar, cop.
William T. Tow著，國防部史政編譯局譯印（2003），《亞太戰略關係：尋求整合安
全》，台北：國防部史政編譯局。
Sutter, Robert: “China and Japan: Trouble Ahead?” The Washington Quarterly
V.25 N.4 autumn, 2002 pp.37-49.
Ferguson, Joseph P., “Russia’s Role on the Korean Peninsula and Great Power
Relations in Northeast Asia,” NBR Analysis, Vol.14, pp.1-16.
Twomey Christopher P. : The Dangers of Overreaching: International Relations
Theory, the US-Japan Alliance, and China, Washington: The Henry L. Stimson
Center 2002
Ivanov, Vladimir I. and Karla S. Smith, Japan and Russia in Northeast Asia :
partners in the 21st century, London : Praeger, 1999
Osius, Ted , The US-Japan security alliance : why it matters and how to
strengthen it , Westport, Conn. : Praeger, 2002
Carpenter, William M. : “The Taiwan Strait Triangle” Comparative Strategy
V.19 N.4 Oct/Dec, 2000 pp.329-340.
Christensen, Thomas J. : “China, the U.S.-Japan Alliance, and the Security
Dilemma in East Asia” International Security V.23 N.4 Spring 1999 pp.49-80
Hwang, Jihwan, Fall 2003. “Rethinking the East Asian Balance of Power:
Historical Antagonism, Internal Balancing, and the Korean-Japanese Security
Relationship,” World Affairs, Vol. 166, No. 2, pp. 85-108.
Dreyer, June Teufel: “U.S.-China Security Relations: Past, Present, and
Future” Issues and Studies V.36 N.4 July/Aug, 2000 pp.33-65.
Moore, Gregory J., 2008. “How North Korea threatens China’s interests :
understanding Chinese “duplicity” on the North Korean nuclear issue.”
International Relations of the Asia-Pacific, vol.8,pp.1-29
Drifte, Reinhard: “US Impact on Japanese-Chinese Security Relations”
Security Dialogue V.31 N.4 Dec, 2000 pp.449-462.
Wishnick, Elizabeth: “Russia and China: Brothers Again?” Asian Survey , V.41
N.5 Sept/Oct, 2001 pp.797-821.
Cossa, Ralph A. ed., US-Korea-Japan relations : building toward a `virtual
alliance`, Washington, D.C. : The CSIS Press, 1999.
Cossa, Ralph A., “US-ROK-DPRK relations : dealing with uncertainty,” Journal
of East Asian Affairs, (2001,Spring/Summer)vol.15:n°1, p.1-14.
Eberstadt, Nicholas, “American security relations with Northeast Asia after 9-
11 : the doughnut and the hole” . In : Korea & World Affairs,: (2002,Fall)
vol.26:n°3, p.335-356.
Hunter, Robert E., “After 9/11 : US policy in Northeast Asia,” In : Asia-
Pacific Review (Tokyo), (2003-05)vol.10:n°1, p.1-20.
Kim, Samuel S. ed., The international relations of northeast Asia, Lanham,
Md. : Rowman & Littlefield Publishers, 2003.
Ward, A., “China and America: Trouble Ahead?”, Survival, Volume 45, Number 3
(September 01, 2003), pp. 35-56.
David M. Lampton（2003），《同床異夢—處理1989到2000年之中美外交》，香港：中文
大學出版社。
Gerald L. Curtis編，國防部史政編譯局譯（2000），《美日關係的新觀點》，台北：國
防部史政編譯局。
James Przystup（2001），「中共、日本與美國」，出自：國防部史政編譯局譯，《美日
聯盟》，台北：國防部史政編譯局。
Nishihara Masashi編，國防部史政編譯局譯（2000），《美日聯盟的新挑戰》，台北：國
防部史政編譯局。
Richard J. Ellings & Aaron Friedberg著，國防部史政編譯局譯（2001），《2001-02戰
略亞洲：權力與目的》，台北：國防部史政編譯局。

亞太軍力平衡之現狀及其演變 (3/18)

Ashley J. Tellis, “Military modernization in Asia” in Ashley J. Tellis &
Michael Wills eds. , Military modernization in an era of uncertainty ,
Seattle : National Bureau of Asian Research, c2005, pp. 3-40.
韓國《國防白皮書》Defense White Paper 2006, “Security Situation in Northeast
Asia” http://www.mnd.go.kr/mndEng/DefensePolicy/Whitepaper/index.jsp
U.S. Department of Defense, Annual Report on the Military Power of PRC, 2007,
Cha, 4: Force Modernization Goals and Trends pp.15-25.
http://www.defenselink.mil/pubs/pdfs/070523-China-Military-Power-final.pdf
National Institute for Defense Studies, ed. , “The Realignment of US Forces
and the East Asian Security”in East Asian Strategic Review 2006, Chapter 1
pp. 11-34. http://www.nids.go.jp/english/dissemination/east-asian/e2006.html

Recommended

各國國防白皮書
Harold Brown, Joseph W. Prueher and Adam Segal, Chinese Military Power, (New
York: Council on Foreign Relations, 2003)
Park, Kyung Ae , “North Korea`s defensive power and US-North Korea
relations”, Pacific Affairs (2000/2001,Winter) vol.73:n°4, p.535-553.
Hickey, Dennis Van Vranken, The armies of East Asia : China, Taiwan, Japan,
and the Koreas, Boulder, Colo. : L. Rienner, 2001
Huxley, Tim and Susan Willett, Arming East Asia, London : International
Institute for Strategic Studies ; Oxford : Oxford University Press, 1999
Adelphi papers ; 329
Natalie Crawford、Chun-in Moon（2003），《韓國的兵力結構與空中武力角色》，台
北：國防部史政編譯局。

各國之亞太軍事戰略及安全政策：轉變過程與現狀 (3/25)
美、日、南北韓

Michael O'Hanlon, “U.S. military modernization : implications for U.S.
policy in Asia” in Ashley J. Tellis & Michael Wills eds. , Military
modernization in an era of uncertainty , Seattle : National Bureau of Asian
Research, c2005, pp. 41-66.
Christopher W. Hughes, “Japanese military modernization : in search of
a "normal" security role,” in Ashley J. Tellis & Michael Wills eds. ,
Military modernization in an era of uncertainty , Seattle : National Bureau of
Asian Research, c2005, pp. 105-136.
Jonathan D. Pollack, “The strategic futures and military capabilities of the
two Koreas,” in Ashley J. Tellis & Michael Wills eds. , Military
modernization in an era of uncertainty , Seattle : National Bureau of Asian
Research, c2005, pp. 137-174.
日、南韓國防白皮書軍事戰略及安全政策部份 (自行上網閱讀)

Recommended

McDevitt, Michael, The 2006 Quadrennial Defense Review and National Security
Strategy: Is There An American Strategic Vision for East Asia?, Issues and
Insights, Pacific Forum Center for Strategic and International Studies,
January 2007. http://www.comw.org/cmp/fulltext/0701mcdevitt.pdf
The Council on Security and Defense Capabilities, Japan’s Visions for Future
Security and Defense Capabilities Report of the Council on Security and
Defense Capabilities Report, Tokyo: October 2004 Part: 1 pp. 1-13
http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/library/news/japan/2004/041000-csdc-
report.pdf
Eldridge, Robert : US Security Strategy and US-Japan-China Relations:
Stabilizer and Engager Washington: The Henry L. Stimson Center 2002.
http://www.stimson.org/japan/pdf/Eldridge-e.pdf
Murata, Koji : Japan’s Security Policy and US-Japan-China Relations
Washington: The Henry L. Stimson Center 2002
Langdon, Frank C. , ”American Northeast Asian strategy”, Pacific Affairs,
2001, Summer, vol.74:n°2, pp.167-184
Mulgan, Aurelia George, “Beyond self-defence ? : Evaluating Japan`s regional
security role under the new defence cooperation guidelines”, Pacific Review,
(2001-10), vol.12:n°3, pp.223-246.
DiFilippo, Anthony, The challenges of the US-Japan military arrangement :
competing security transitions in a changing international environment,
Armonk, N.Y. : M.E. Sharpe, 2002.
Midford, Paul, “The logic of reassurance and Japan`s grand strategy”,
Security Studies, (2002,Spring), vol.11:n°3, pp.1-43
Department of Defense (U.S.A.). The United States Security Strategy For The
East Asia-Pacific Region 1998, .
http://www.shaps.hawaii.edu/security/easr98.html

各國之東亞軍事戰略及安全政策：轉變過程與現狀 (4/1)
中共、俄

David Shambaugh, “China's military modernization : making steady and
surprising progress” in Ashley J. Tellis & Michael Wills eds. , Military
modernization in an era of uncertainty , Seattle : National Bureau of Asian
Research, c2005, pp. 137-174.

Stephen J. Blank, “Potemkin's treadmill : Russian military modernization” in
Ashley J. Tellis & Michael Wills eds. , Military modernization in an era of
uncertainty , Seattle : National Bureau of Asian Research, c2005, pp. 175-207.

Recommended
U.S. Department of Defense, Annual Report on the Military Power of PRC, 2000-
2008, “China’s Military Strategy and Doctrine”
中華人民共和國國務院新聞辦公室,《2008年中國的國防》2009年1月•北京
http://202.123.110.5/jrzg/2009-01/20/content_1210075.htm.
National Institute for Defense Studies, ed. , “Russia-A More Assertive
Foreign Policy”in East Asian Strategic Review 2007, Chapter 6 pp. 161-196
http://www.nids.go.jp/english/dissemination/east-asian/e2007.html
Medeiros, Evan S. , “Evolving Nuclear Doctrine” in Bolt, Paul J. & Albert S.
Willner, China's nuclear future, Boulder, Colo. : Lynne Rienner Publishers,
2006. pp. 39-78.
Wortzel, Larry M. , China's Nuclear Forces: Operations, Training, Doctrine,
Command, Control and Campaign Planning , Strategic Studies Institute, U.S.
Army War College (May 2007)
www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pubs/display.cfm?pubID=776
John J. Tkacik, Jr., “China’s Quest for a Superpower Military”,
Backgrounder, N. 2036, Washington, DC: The Heritage Foundation (May 17,
2007). www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pdffiles/pub709.pdf.
Scobell, Andrew ; Wortzel, Larry M. eds. Shaping China's Security Environment:
The Role of the People's Liberation Army , Strategic Studies Institute, U.S.
Army War College, October 2006
www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pdffiles/pub709.pdf

各國之亞太軍事戰略及安全政策：轉變過程與現狀 (4/8)
東南亞(恐怖主義問題)、澳洲

Sheldon W. Simon, “Southeast Asia's defense needs : change or continuity? In
Ashley J. Tellis & Michael Wills eds. , Military modernization in an era of
uncertainty , Seattle : National Bureau of Asian Research, c2005, pp. 269-303.
Hugh White, “Australian strategic policy” in Ashley J. Tellis & Michael
Wills eds. , Military modernization in an era of uncertainty , Seattle :
National Bureau of Asian Research, c2005, pp. 305-332.
Carlyle Tayer, “New terrorism in Southeast Asia” in Damien Kingsbury ed.,
Violence in between : conflict and security in archipelagic Southeast Asia,
Clayton : Monash Asia Institute ; Singapore : Institute of Southeast Asian
Studies, 2005

東北亞不擴散機制之運作與動搖 (4/15)

Mitchell B. Reiss, “Prospects for nuclear proliferation in Asia” in Ashley
J. Tellis & Michael Wills eds. , Military modernization in an era of
uncertainty , Seattle : National Bureau of Asian Research, c2005, pp. 333-362.
Cimbala, Stephen J.. “Nuclear arms in Asia : theory and policy issues”,
Comparative Strategy, (2007-03/04) vol.26:n°2, p.127-140
O'Neil, Andrew , “The failing strategy of nuclear nonproliferation ; Can a
nuclear armed North Korea be managed?” Nuclear proliferation in Northeast
Asia : the quest for security , New York, NY : Palgrave Macmillan, 2007.

Recommended

Bleiker, Roland , “A rogue is a rogue : US foreign policy and the Korean
nuclear crisis”, International Affairs (London) (2003-07), vol.79:n°4, p. 719-
737
Frieman, Wendy , China, arms control, and nonproliferation, London ; New
York : RoutledgeCurzon, 2004.
Rozman, Gilbert , Strategic thinking about the Korean nuclear crisis : four
parties caught between North Korea and the United States, New York : Palgrave
Macmillan, 2007. (待法研圖購買)
Funabashi, Yōichi, The peninsula question : a chronicle of the second Korean
nuclear crisis, Washington, D.C. : Brookings Institution Press, 2007. (待法研圖
購買)
Mack, Andrew ed. Nuclear Policies in Northeast Asia, Geneva & New York: UNIDIR
1995.
Morton I. Abramowitz and James T. Laney, Meeting the North Korea nuclear
change : report of an independent task force, New York : Council on Foreign
Relations, 2003
Patrick M. Cronin, 2008, Double trouble: Iran and North Korea as challenges to
international security : Westport, Conn. : Praeger Security International.

東北亞不擴散機制之運作與動搖 (4/22)
日本核武問題

Llewelyn Hughes, “Why Japan Will Not Go Nuclear (Yet): International and
Domestic Constraints on the Nuclearization of Japan” International Security
Spring 2007, Vol. 31, No. 4: 67-96
Andrew L. Oros (2003). "Godzilla's Return: The New Nuclear Politics in an
Insecure Japan". In Japan's Nuclear Option: Security, Politics, and Policy in
the 21st Century, Benjamin Self and Jeffrey Thompson (eds), Washington, DC:
The Henry L. Stimson Center. http://www.stimson.org/pub.cfm?ID=91
Sherrill, Clifton W. (2001). "The Need for a Japanese Nuclear Deterrent".
Comparative Strategy 20 3: 259–270.
http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/content~content=a713839448~db=all~order=page

Recommended

Yuri Kase, “Japan’s Nonnuclear Weapons Policy in the Changing Security
Environment: Issues, Challenges, and Strategies,” World Affairs 165:3 (Winter
2003), pp.123-131.
Kamiya, Matake (2002). "Nuclear Japan: Oxymoron or Coming Soon?". The
Washington Quarterly 26 1: pp. 63–75.
DiFilippo, Anthony , Japan's nuclear disarmament policy and the U.S. security
umbrella, New York : Palgrave Macmillian, 2006

飛彈防禦與東亞安全: 飛彈防禦是否真能增進東北亞的安全與穩定? (4/29)
---美、日、南韓、澳

Center for Nonproliferation Studies, Monterey Institute of International
Studies : Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD) in Northeast Asia: An Annotated
Chronology, 1990-2003 California: Monterey Institute of International
Studies, East Asia Nonproliferation Program,
http://cns.miis.edu/research/neasia/bmdchron.pdf , (中文版1990-2000)
http://cns.miis.edu/research/neasia/bmdchi.pdf (自行上網參考)
Cimbala, Stephen J.. “Nuclear proliferation in Asia and missile defense”,
Comparative Strategy, (2005-10/11) vol.24:n°4, p.313-326
Victor D. Cha, “Nuclear Weapons, Missile Defense, and Stability: A Case for
‘Sober Optimism’,” in Muthiah Alagappa, ed., Asian Security Order:
Instrumental and Normative Features (Stanford: Stanford University Press,
2003), pp.458-496
Freedman, Amy L., “The implications of missile defense for Northeast Asia”
Orbis, (2004,Spring) vol.48:n°2, p.335-

Recommended

Department of Defense (U.S.A.), Theater Missile Defense Architecture Options
for the Asia-Pacific Region, Report to Congress, May 4, 1999.
http://www.shaps.hawaii.edu/security/tmd050499.html
Swaine, Michael D. and Loren H. Runyon, (2002), Ballistic Missiles and Missile
Defense in Asia NBR Analysis vol. 13, no. 3.
Medeiros, Evan S. : Ballistic Missile Defense and Northeast Asian Security:
Views from Washington, Beijing, and Tokyo California: Monterey Institute of
International Studies & Iowa: The Stanley Foundation, April 2001
Mitchell, Gordon R., “Japan-US missile defense collaboration : rhetorically
delicious, deceptively dangerous”, Fletcher Forum of World Affairs,
(2001,Winter), vol.25:n°1, pp.85-108
Michael D. Swaine等著，國防部史政編譯局譯（2001），《日本與彈道飛彈防禦》，台
北：國防部史政編譯局。

飛彈防禦與東亞安全: 中、俄、北韓之反應 (5/6)

Tompkins, Joanne , “How U.S. Strategic Policy Is Changing China's Nuclear
Plans” Arms Control Today, January/February 2003.
http://www.armscontrol.org/act/2003_01-02/tompkins_janfeb03.asp?print
Alan D. Romberg and Michael McDevitt, eds., China and Missile Defense:
Managing-U.S. PRC Strategic Relations, (Washington, D.C.: The Henry L. Stimson
Center, 2003) pp. 1-37 (有中文版, 國防部史政編譯局譯)
http://www.stimson.org/pub.cfm?id=73
Kim, Taeho, “Ëast Asian Reactions to U.S. Missile Defense: Torn between Tacit
Support and Overt Oppossition”, in Scobell, Andrew & Wortzel, Larry M. ed.:
China’s Growing Military Power: Perspectives on Security, Ballistic Missiles,
and conventional capabilities Sept. 2002 http://carlis/e-www.army.mil/usassi/
ssipubs/pubs2002/chingrow/chingrow.pdf

Recommended

CNS Programs: EANP Factsheets , China's Opposition to US Missile Defense
Programs http://cns.miis.edu/research/china/chinamd.htm
Tow, William T. & Choong, William: “Asian Perceptions of BMD: Defence or
Disequilibrium?” Contemporary Southeast Asia: A Journal of International and
Strategic Affairs V.23 N.3 Dec, 2001 pp.379-400.
Urayama, Kori J. : “Chinese Perspectives on Theater Missile Defense: Policy
Implications for Japan” Asian Survey V.40 N.4 July/Aug,2001 pp.599-621.
Roberts, Brad , China and Ballistic Missile Defense: 1955 to 2002 and
Beyond , Washington, D.C.: Institute for Defence Analysis, September 2003
http://stinet.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTRDoc?AD=A418710&Location=U2&doc=GetTRDoc.pdf

美國「延伸嚇阻」安全承諾的可信度、飛彈防禦，及不擴散機制 (5/13)

Roberts, Brad (2001), China-U.S. Nuclear Relations: What Relationship Best
Serves U.S. Interests? Institute for Defense Analysis.
http://www.au.af.mil/au/awc/awcgate/dtra/china_us_nuc.pdf
Lewis, Jeffrey G , “U.S. Nuclear Posture and the logic of Restraint”, in
Lewis, Jeffrey G , The minimum means of reprisal : China's search for security
in the nuclear age , Cambridge, Mass. : The MIT Press, 2007, pp. 141-170.
Katsuhisa Furukawa, “Making Sense of Japan’s Nuclear Policy: Arms Control,
Extended Deterrence, and the Nuclear Option,” in Benjamin L. Self and Jeffrey
W. Thompson, eds., Japan’s Nuclear Options: Security, Politics, and Policy in
the 21st Century , (Washington, DC: The Stimson Center, 2003), pp.95-147.
http://www.stimson.org/pub.cfm?ID=91

Recommended

Bolkcom, Christopher, Shirley A. Kan, and Amy F. Woolf, U.S. Conventional
Forces and Nuclear Deterrence: A China Case Study, CRS Report for Congress,
August 11, 2006.
Chan, Steve, “Extended deterrence in the Taiwan Strait : learning from
rationalist explanations in international relations” World Affairs
(Washington) , (2003,Fall), vol.166:n°2, pp.109-125
Ross, Robert S. , “Navigating the Taiwan strait: deterrence escalation
dominance, and U.S-China relations”, International Security, (2002,Fall),
vol.27:n°2, pp.48-85
Payne, Keith B.: “Proliferation, Deterrence, stability and Missile Defense”
Comparative Strategy V.13 N.1, jan.-mar. 1994, pp. 117-129.

多邊主義安全架構可能出現並成功運作嗎？(5/20)
---東協區域論壇(ASEAN Way)、亞太安全合作理事會…等之運作，是成功的嗎?

Jones, David Martin and Michael L.R. Smith , “Making Process, Not Progress:
ASEAN and the Evolving East Asian Regional Order” International Security
Summer 2007, Vol. 32, No. 1: 148-184
Amitav Acharya, “Regional Institutions and Asian Security Order: Norms,
Power, and Prospects for Peaceful Change,” in Muthiah Alagappa, ed., Asian
Security Order: Instrumental and Normative Features (Stanford: Stanford
University Press, 2003), pp.210-240
Simon, Sheldon W., 2008/8. “ASEAN and multilateralism : the long, bumpy road
to community” Contemporary Southeast Asia, vol.30, pp.264-292

Recommended
Kent E. Calder and Francis Fukuyama, East Asian multilateralism : prospects
for regional stability. Baltimore : Johns Hopkins University Press, 2008..
Vinod K. Aggarwal, Min Gyo Koo, 2008, Asia's new institutional architecture :
evolving structures for managing trade, financial, and security relations.
Berlin: Springer, cop.
Alan Collins ,“Achieving Security: the ASEAN Way,” Security and Southeast
Asia : domestic, regional, and global issues , Cha. 5, Boulder : Lynne Rienner
Publishers, 2003, pp. 127-159.
Derek da Cunha ed. , Southeast Asian perspectives on security, Singapore :
Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, 2000.
Ralf Emmers, “Security Cooperation in the Asia-Pacific: Evolution of Concepts
and Practices,” in See Seng Tan and Amitav Acharya eds. , Asia-Pacific
security cooperation : national interests and regional order, Armonk, N.Y. :
M.E. Sharpe, 2004, pp.3-18.

多邊主義安全架構可能出現並成功運作嗎？(5/27)
---東北亞多邊主義安全架構可能出現嗎?

Ellen L. Frost & David C. Kang, “Security in Northeast Asia: Time for New
Architecture?” in Vinod K. Aggarwal, Min Gyo Koo, Seungjoo Lee and
Chung-in Moon, Northeast Asia---Ripe for Integration? Springer Berlin
Heidelberg, 2008, pp. 213-244.
James E. Goodby, “The Emerging Architecture for Security and Cooperation in
Northeast Asia” Issues and Insights , Vol. 8-No. 3, March 2008.
Paul Evans, “Constructing multilateralism in an anti-region : from Six Party
Talks to a regional security framework in Northeast Asia?” in Gi-Wook Shin
and Daniel C. Sneider eds. , Cross currents : regionalism and nationalism in
Northeast Asia , Washington, D.C. : Brookings Institution Press, 2007, pp. 99-
116.

Recommended

Gi-Wook Shin, “regionalism and nationalism in Northeast Asia,” in Gi-Wook
Shin and Daniel C. Sneider eds. , Cross currents : regionalism and nationalism
in Northeast Asia , Washington, D.C. : Brookings Institution Press, 2007, pp.
11-42.
Wuchte, Thomas A. , “A Modest Proposal: Forming a Regularized Security
Structure for Northeast Asia - Drawing on the OSCE Experience”, in Terence
Roehrig , Jungmin and Seo Uk Heo, eds. , Korean security in a changing east
Asia, Westport, Conn. : Praeger Security International, 2007.
Dent, Christopher M, 2002. “Introduction: Northeast Asia – A Region in
Search of Regionalism,” in Northeast Asian Regionalism: Learning from the
European Experience eds. by Christopher M. Dent and David W. F. Huang. London:
Routledge.
Huang, Chao-Jen, 2002. “Northeast Asian States after the Cold War,” in
Northeast Asian Regionalism: Learning from the European Experience eds. by
Christopher M. Dent and David W. F. Huang. London: Routledge.
Makio Miyagawa, “Regionism: The View from Northeast Asia,”in Gi-Wook Shin
and Daniel C. Sneider eds. , Cross currents : regionalism and nationalism in
Northeast Asia , Washington, D.C. : Brookings Institution Press, 2007, pp. 141-
152.
Noerper, Stephen , “Multilateralism and Korean Security in Transition”, in
Kyung-Ae Park and Dalchoong Kim eds. Korean security dynamics in transition,
New York : Palgrave, 2001.
Kim, Sung-Han, “Exploring confidence-building measures in Northeast Asia: a
Korean perspective,” Korea & World Affairs, Vol.21; No.3, Fall, 1997, pp.424-
441
Gill, Bates, “North-East Asia and multilateral security institutions” SIPRI
Yearbook : 1994 , p. 149-168
Center for Strategic and International Studies ed., Asia Pacific confidence
and security building measures, Washington, D.C. : Center for Strategic and
International Studies, 1995.

多邊主義安全架構可能出現並成功運作嗎？(6/3)
------大國的態度(美國的態度, 中國的新安全觀)

Bates Gill, “China’s New Security Multilateralism and Its Implications for
the Asia-Pacific Region,” in SIPRI Yearbook 2004: Armaments, Disarmament and
International Security (Oxford: Oxford University Press for SIPRI, 2004), pp.
207-231.
Michael H. Armacost, “The U.S. response to Asian Regionalism,” in Gi-Wook
Shin and Daniel C. Sneider eds. , Cross currents : regionalism and nationalism
in Northeast Asia , Washington, D.C. : Brookings Institution Press, 2007, pp.
287-293.
Takeshi Yuzawa, “Japan’s changing conception of the ARF: From an optimistic
liberal to a pessistic realist perspective on security miltilateralism,”
Japan's security policy and the ASEAN Regional Forum : the search for
multilateral security in the Asia-Pacific, London ; New York : Routledge,
2007, pp. 150-166.

Recommended

Taizo Watanabe, William T. Tow , “Trilateralism, Southeast Asia and
multilateralism” in William T. Tow et al. , Asia-Pacific security : US,
Australia and Japan and the new security triangle, London ; New York :
Routledge, 2007, pp. 125-138.
Tow, William T. “Convergent Security Revisited: Reconciling Bilateral and
Multilateral Security Approaches” in Seng Tan and Amitav Acharya eds., Asia-
Pacific security cooperation : national interests and regional order , N.Y. ;
London : M.E. Sharpe, 2004, pp. 19-32.
Cossa, Ralph A., “Bilateralism versus multilateralism : an American
perspective,” In : Korean Journal of Defense Analysis.: (1996,Winter)vol.8:n°
2, p.7-27.
Fukushima, Akiko : Multilateralism and Security Cooperation with China,
Washington: The Henry L. Stimson Center 2002

臺灣與東北亞安全：臺灣該如何因應此快速變遷中的東北亞安全局勢？ (6/10)

Michael D. Swaine and Roy D. Kamphausen, “Military modernization in Taiwan”
in Ashley J. Tellis & Michael Wills eds. , Military modernization in an era of
uncertainty , Seattle : National Bureau of Asian Research, c2005, pp. 387-423.
U.S. Department of Defense, Annual Report on the Military Power of PRC, 2008,
Cha. 6: Force Modernization and Security in the Taiwan Strait. Pp.40-44.
中華民國國防報告書97年, ch. 5「國防政策」 ch. 6「軍事戰略」. , ch. 3 「中共軍
力」 http://report.mnd.gov.tw/ (自行上網閱讀).
Murray, William, “Revisiting Taiwan's Defense Strategy”, Naval War College
Review 2008, Summer <台灣防衛戰略的再檢討> 鄭大誠譯
馬英九、蕭萬長國防政策, http://www.ma19.net/

Recommended

Ting, Wei , “The Potential Flashpoint: Taiwan” in Bolt, Paul J. & Albert S.
Willner, China's nuclear future, Boulder, Colo. : Lynne Rienner Publishers,
2006. pp. 143-166.
Cole, Bernard D. , Taiwan’s Security: History and prospects, N. Y. :
Routledge, 2006.
Edmonds, Martin and Michael Tsai eds. , Defending Taiwan : the future vision
of Taiwan's defence policy and military strategy, New York, NY :
RoutledgeCurzon, 2003
Swaine, Michael & James Mulvenon: Taiwan’s Foreign and Defense Policies:
Features and Determinants Rand, 2001
http://www.rand.org/publications/MR/MR1383 。
Christensen, Thomas J., “The contemporary security dilemma : deterring a
Taiwan conflict”, Washington Quarterly, (2002,Autumn), vol.25 :n°4, p.7-21
Hickey, Dennis Van Vranken: Taiwan’s Security in the Changing International
System Boulder, Colo.: Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1997
Kearsley, Harold J. : “An Analysis of the Military Threats Across the Taiwan
Strait: Fact or Fiction” Comparative Strategy V.19 Issue 2 Apr.-Jun 2000
pp.103-116
Lee,Wei-chin: “Thunder in the Air: Taiwan and Theater Missile Defense”
Nonproliferation Review V.8 N.3 fall/winter 2001, pp.107-122.
Wallace, Michael D.; Job, Brian L.; Clermont, Jean & Laliberte, Andre:
“Rethinking Arms Races: Asymmetry and Volatility in the Taiwan Strait Case”
Asian-Perspective V.25 N.1 2001 pp.157-193.
Wang, T. Y. : “Taiwan and Theater Missile Defense” Journal of Social,
Political and Economic Studies V.25 N.3 fall, 2000 pp.259-283.
Bi, Jianxiang , “Uncertain courses: theater missile defense and cross-strait
competition” Journal of Strategic Studies, (2002-09), vol.25:n°3, pp.109-160
Mulvenon, James , “Missile Defenses and the Taiwan Scenario” in Alan D.
Romberg and Michael McDevitt, eds., China and Missile Defense: Managing-U.S.
PRC Strategic Relations, (Washington, D.C.: The Henry L. Stimson Center, 2003)
pp. 52-60. http://www.stimson.org/pub.cfm?id=73
 
評量方式
(僅供參考)
  
No.
項目
百分比
說明
1. 
 將於課堂上公布 
100% 
 1. (20%)：上課出席與參與討論 2. (20%)：學期論文口頭報告與評論 3. (60%)：學期論文 ：為確保論文的順利進行，學生須在第9週(4/15)前，繳交一份三百字(不含參考書目)報告大綱，說明研究計畫動機、目的、章節安排及問題意識、與資料來源(參考書目乃是重點)，並經老師同意。大綱將列入學期論文成績計算(佔10%)。寫作格式與要求重點，將於第一堂課說明。 
 
課程進度
週次
日期
單元主題